WHAT’S Inflation and Deflation and a Speculation Concerning the Bitcoin Future

Recently I started investing in bitcoins and I’ve heard a lot of talks about inflation and deflation but not many people actually know and consider what inflation and deflation are. But let’s focus on inflation.

We always needed ways to trade value and the most practical way to do it would be to link it with money. In the past it worked quite well because the money that has been issued was associated with gold. So every central bank had to have enough gold to cover back all of the money it issued. However, during the past century this changed and gold is not what’s giving value to money but promises. Since you can guess it’s very an easy task to abuse to such power and certainly the major central banks aren’t renouncing to do so. That is why they’re printing money, so basically they’re “creating wealth” out of nothing without really having it. This process not merely exposes us to risks of economic collapse nonetheless it results also with the de-valuation of money. Therefore, because money is worth less, whoever is selling something must raise the price of goods to reflect their real value, that is called inflation. But what’s behind the money printing? Why are central banks doing this? Well the answer they might offer you is that by de-valuing their currency they are helping the exports.

In fairness, inside our global economy this is true. However, that is not the only reason. By issuing fresh money we are able to afford to pay back the debts we’d, put simply we make new debts to pay the old ones. But that’s not only it, by de-valuing our currencies we have been de-facto de-valuing our debts. That is why our countries love inflation. In inflationary environments it’s easier to grow because debts are cheap. But what are the consequences of most this? It’s hard to store wealth. So if you keep carefully the money (you worked hard to get) in your money you’re actually losing wealth because your money is de-valuing pretty quickly.

Because each central bank comes with an inflation target at around 2% we can well say that keeping money costs all of us at least 2% each year. This discourages savers and spur consumes. This is how our economies are working, based on inflation and debts.

What about deflation? Well this is often the opposite of inflation in fact it is the biggest nightmare for the central banks, let’s understand why. Basically, we have deflation when overall the costs of goods fall. This would be caused by an increase of value of money. For starters, it could hurt spending as consumers will be incentivised to save money because their value increase overtime. Alternatively merchants will be under constant pressure. They will need to sell their goods quick otherwise they’ll lose money because the price they will charge for their services will drop as time passes. But when there is something we learned in these years is that central banks and governments do not care much about consumers or merchants, what they care the most is DEBT!!. In a deflationary environment debt can be a real burden since it will only get bigger as time passes. Because our economies are based on debt you can imagine exactly what will function as consequences of deflation.

So in summary, inflation is growth friendly but is founded on debt. Which means future generations can pay our debts. Deflation alternatively makes growth harder nonetheless it means that future generations won’t have much debt to pay (in such context it might be possible to afford slow growth).

OK so how all this fits with bitcoins?

Well, bitcoins are designed to be an alternative for money also to be both a store of value and a mean for trading goods. They are limited in number and we’ll never have more than 21 million bitcoins around. Therefore they are designed to be deflationary. Now we have all seen what the consequences of deflation are. However, in a bitcoin-based future it could still be possible for businesses to thrive. The ideal solution will be to switch from the debt-based economy to a share-based economy. Actually, because contracting debts in bitcoins would be very expensive business can still obtain the capital they need by issuing shares of their company. This could be a fascinating alternative as it will offer you many investment opportunities and the wealth generated will be distributed more evenly among people. However, simply for clarity, I have to say that portion of the costs of borrowing capital will be reduced under bitcoins because the fees will be extremely low and there will not be intermediaries between transactions (banks rip people off, both borrowers and lenders). This might buffer a few of the negative sides of deflation. Nevertheless, https://krogerexperiencee.com will face many problems unfortunately, as governments still need fiat money to cover back the huge debts that we inherited from days gone by generations.

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